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<title>Field notes — Oktay Dak</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/</link>
<description>Short daily entries on building products, automations, and internal systems around real problems.</description>
<language>en</language>
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<title>I automated something and gave myself a new job</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/otomatiklestirdim-kendime-is-cikardim/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/otomatiklestirdim-kendime-is-cikardim/</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>I no longer do the task by hand. I just check whether it got done. On the invisible maintenance shift behind automation.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">My favorite part of an automation idea is the future I promise myself: I&#x27;ll never have to think about this task again.</p><p class="note-body__p">Data will arrive from somewhere, something will process it, and the result will go where it belongs. Meanwhile, I&#x27;ll be doing something else. A small arrangement in which the computer acts like a computer and I finally get to step away from it.</p><p class="note-body__p">Then I picture myself refreshing a dashboard. Did it arrive? Did it run? Why is it taking a little longer today?</p><p class="note-body__p">I no longer do the task by hand. I just check whether it got done. There&#x27;s an important difference, of course, but this wasn&#x27;t the holiday I promised myself.</p><h3 id="the-job-is-now-called-maintenance" class="note-body__h">The job is now called maintenance</h3><p class="note-body__p">A manual task has clear boundaries. I start, work on it, and finish. It might be annoying, but I know when it needs my time.</p><p class="note-body__p">Automation blurs that boundary. A service the system relies on can change. The expected data might never arrive. A permission that was enough yesterday might no longer be enough today. Even if the part I wrote stays the same, the world around it keeps moving.</p><p class="note-body__p">And maintenance doesn&#x27;t always arrive at a convenient time. There&#x27;s no calendar entry saying “Tuesday afternoon: tend to automation.” A notification lands while I&#x27;m focused on something else. Sometimes there&#x27;s no notification at all; noticing the gap is my responsibility.</p><p class="note-body__p">When calculating the time saved, setup time is easy to count. The “I wonder if it&#x27;s working” tab left open in the back of my mind is harder to measure.</p><h3 id="silence-isnt-always-good-news" class="note-body__h">Silence isn&#x27;t always good news</h3><p class="note-body__p">I don&#x27;t like an error message, but at least it speaks. The system that says nothing is more unsettling.</p><p class="note-body__p">A task can appear to have run without producing the result I expected. Perhaps it successfully processed an empty list. Sent yesterday&#x27;s data again. Finished half the work and skipped the rest.</p><p class="note-body__p">In that arrangement, the green mark on the dashboard and what I consider “done” don&#x27;t agree. I&#x27;m waiting for the outcome of the work, not just for a command to run.</p><p class="note-body__p">If the task is to produce a file, for example, the file needs to actually exist, open properly, and belong to the right day. A success message that doesn&#x27;t check those things still leaves work for me.</p><h3 id="if-i-answer-every-notification" class="note-body__h">If I answer every notification</h3><p class="note-body__p">The first solution seems to be more notifications. Started, finished, tried, retried. My phone becomes a small operations center.</p><p class="note-body__p">But when everything sends news, it&#x27;s harder to tell which message needs attention. Eventually, reading the messages becomes a regular task too. I start thinking about automating the new work created by the automation. A lovely loop; slightly funny from the outside.</p><p class="note-body__p">What I want is simpler: if something needs my intervention, I should understand what happened. I should be able to find the last successful result. It should be clear how many times the system will retry on its own and when it will stop.</p><p class="note-body__p">Being able to resume after an error without investigating the entire history is part of that peace of mind. Restarting the task shouldn&#x27;t become a separate job of worrying about duplicate results.</p><h3 id="sometimes-doing-it-by-hand-costs-less" class="note-body__h">Sometimes doing it by hand costs less</h3><p class="note-body__p">The fact that a task can be automated isn&#x27;t a sufficient reason to automate it. For a small job I do once a month that changes shape every time, the system I build might demand more attention than the task itself.</p><p class="note-body__p">That&#x27;s a little annoying to admit. Building automation is fun. Doing the repetitive task is boring. Sometimes what I defend as efficiency also contains the urge to build something new. There&#x27;s nothing wrong with that urge; I just need to put it in the right column of the ledger.</p><p class="note-body__p">So I&#x27;d like to adjust the question. Alongside “Can I automate this?” I want to ask: “What will it take from me to trust that it&#x27;s working?”</p><p class="note-body__p">For me, the best moment of good automation isn&#x27;t the first time it runs. It&#x27;s the moment, some time later, when I can forget it exists. I see that the work is done and get on with my life.</p><p class="note-body__p">There will still be maintenance. But if I&#x27;m taking attendance every morning, I haven&#x27;t yet earned the free time I promised myself.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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<title>The demo works. What about the product?</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/demo-calisiyor-peki-urun/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/demo-calisiyor-peki-urun/</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>AI has made the first working screen easier to build. The real question is whether the work behind that screen still holds up tomorrow.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">The best moment of building something with AI is seeing it work for the first time. You write a few sentences, make some adjustments, and something resembling the idea in your head appears on screen. What was just a conversation now has an address, buttons, perhaps a database.</p><p class="note-body__p">At that moment, the same thought comes to mind: There it is. Done.</p><p class="note-body__p">Then you refresh the page.</p><h3 id="what-the-first-screen-doesnt-tell-you" class="note-body__h">What the first screen doesn&#x27;t tell you</h3><p class="note-body__p">A prototype usually shows the best possible case. The data arrives, the connection holds, the user clicks the right button. Everyone plays their assigned part.</p><p class="note-body__p">The point where it starts becoming a product is a little less pleasant. What do we show when the result is empty? What happens if the same action runs twice? If someone leaves halfway through and returns tomorrow, can they pick up where they left off?</p><p class="note-body__p">These things don&#x27;t show up well in a screenshot. But they&#x27;re how a user gets to know the application. They see the animation I&#x27;m excited about once; they remember their lost data for a long time.</p><h3 id="as-we-get-faster-theres-more-to-check" class="note-body__h">As we get faster, there&#x27;s more to check</h3><p class="note-body__p">AI can make a change very quickly. That speed doesn&#x27;t automatically reduce the time I need to understand what it did.</p><p class="note-body__p">Sometimes a single request changes a pile of files. The screen looks fixed. But if I move on to the next request without understanding the conditions under which the fix works, a few rounds later I can feel like a stranger in my own product.</p><p class="note-body__p">So the word “done” needs a small question beside it: Based on what?</p><p class="note-body__p">Did the build pass? Was the action actually saved? Does it work in the deployed version too? Has it been tried on a phone? Each answer tells me something different.</p><h3 id="following-one-small-path-all-the-way-through" class="note-body__h">Following one small path all the way through</h3><p class="note-body__p">Here&#x27;s a goal that makes more sense to me: choose one small task a user needs to do, and complete that path from start to finish.</p><p class="note-body__p">If they&#x27;re creating a record, they should be able to create it, open it again, and edit it. If something goes wrong, they should understand what happened. And I should have a trace that helps me find the error.</p><p class="note-body__p">Then I can add the second task.</p><p class="note-body__p">This approach might look less impressive on day one. But opening the project the next day and knowing where I stand feels good too. I don&#x27;t have to manufacture fresh excitement every time; I can keep building on something that works.</p><h3 id="if-it-still-works-tomorrow" class="note-body__h">If it still works tomorrow</h3><p class="note-body__p">AI has lowered the cost of trying an idea. I love the excitement of that. Not having to wait weeks to see something I&#x27;ve imagined is a huge opportunity.</p><p class="note-body__p">Still, there&#x27;s work to do after the first working version. Reading, trying things, simplifying, sometimes undoing a change. Going back to the place where a user got stuck.</p><p class="note-body__p">The prototype shows me the idea is possible. For it to become a product, I need to stay with it a little longer.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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<title>A new model dropped. I'm already behind.</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/yeni-model-cikti-ben-yine-gec-kaldim/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/yeni-model-cikti-ben-yine-gec-kaldim/</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Sol, and Luna all landed on the same day. On the AI FOMO of trying to catch the next release before understanding the last one.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">I pick up my phone. A model has launched. Another is supposedly about to. Someone has a screenshot of a third, and I can&#x27;t even pronounce the fourth. I don&#x27;t know what time it is yet, but I already feel late.</p><p class="note-body__p">Here is the actual news: <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Anthropic announced Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22</a>. The company says it performs at the level of Fable 5.1 on most work, while costing about 40% less than Opus 5 on typical workloads. It is faster, too. Those are claims from the announcement; I haven&#x27;t measured them on my own work yet.</p><p class="note-body__p">While I&#x27;m writing this, <a href="https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-6-sol-and-luna/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">OpenAI announces GPT-6 Sol and Luna</a>. Sol&#x27;s API input price has dropped from $4 to $2 per million tokens, and output from $20 to $10; Luna comes in cheaper still. Rollout starts today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu users, with ChatGPT access arriving gradually throughout the day. Something I was treating as a rumor minutes ago is now official. My brain sounds the same alarm: <strong>catch up now.</strong></p><h3 id="which-train-did-i-miss" class="note-body__h">Which train did I miss?</h3><p class="note-body__p">Two weeks ago we were talking about <a href="https://openai.com/index/gpt-6-astra/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">GPT-6 Astra</a>. Earlier this month came <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1</a>. Today it&#x27;s Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Sol, and Luna. On a calendar these are separate dates. In my head they are one very long launch day.</p><p class="note-body__p">The strange part is that I&#x27;m not afraid of missing the model. I&#x27;m afraid that someone else will be trying it while I&#x27;m still explaining things to yesterday&#x27;s tool. A company says a tester migrated 680,000 lines of code, and suddenly I feel as if I should rebuild my life before dinner. A success story in a launch post becomes my personal performance review.</p><p class="note-body__p">The comparison never ends: Which model writes better? Which one codes better? Why isn&#x27;t it on my account yet? Should I buy a more expensive plan? The setup that worked perfectly well an hour ago starts to look obsolete, though nothing about my work has changed.</p><h3 id="the-urge-to-refresh" class="note-body__h">The urge to refresh</h3><p class="note-body__p">Speed alone doesn&#x27;t fuel this loop. Uncertainty does. Official releases, leaks, predictions, benchmark charts, and excited posts all appear at the same size in the same feed. Today a rumor became news, which makes the urge to chase every rumor even stronger. I spend so long tracking release times that I have no time to ask what I&#x27;d do with the models that actually launched.</p><p class="note-body__p">At some point I stop reading the news and start checking myself. Am I keeping up? Am I falling behind? Each refresh delays the answer a little longer. Then I open another tab. I&#x27;m tempted to call it “model psychosis” in the loose, everyday sense. I don&#x27;t mean a medical condition. I mean that shared feeling of losing perspective in front of a screen.</p><p class="note-body__p">Perhaps the most tiring part is that more capability really is good news. If a better, cheaper tool exists, I&#x27;d like to use it. But each improvement reaches me first as a debt: another thing to try, another interface to learn, another workflow to reconsider.</p><h3 id="what-will-i-do-today" class="note-body__h">What will I do today?</h3><p class="note-body__p">I&#x27;ll try Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Sol on my own work. I&#x27;ll run the same task with my current setup and compare time, cost, and quality. I won&#x27;t abandon tonight&#x27;s work just because two companies stepped onto the stage on the same day.</p><p class="note-body__p">That&#x27;s easy to write and hard to do. The feed moves faster than my work does. Still, I want to remember that being the first person to use a model and doing good work with it are different things. Sometimes the best feature of a new release is that it gives me a reason to step away from the screen for a few hours.</p><p class="note-body__p">Sources: <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Anthropic&#x27;s Opus 5.5 announcement</a>, <a href="https://support.claude.com/en/articles/12138966-release-notes" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Claude release notes</a>, <a href="https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-6-sol-and-luna/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">OpenAI&#x27;s GPT-6 Sol and Luna announcement</a>, <a href="https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-6-sol" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">GPT-6 Sol model page</a>.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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<title>What 5,829 videos taught me</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/bes-bin-video/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/bes-bin-video/</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>I matched Oesnada's entire YouTube archive against the news database: the volume trap, the power of Turkish, and the zero link between editorial score and views.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">Last night I did something odd: I pulled all 5,829 videos on Oesnada&#x27;s YouTube channel and matched them one by one against the news database. Views, likes, comments, duration, hour, language, category — everything. I was curious: what does this mountain we&#x27;ve produced for two years actually say?</p><h3 id="the-volume-trap" class="note-body__h">The volume trap</h3><p class="note-body__p">The clearest finding is also the most painful. December 2025: 245 videos, 178 views each. June 2026: 1,011 videos, 7 views each. Output quadrupled, yield fell twenty-five-fold.</p><p class="note-body__p">It stung a little writing that down, honestly. But numbers aren&#x27;t polite: the March–April 2026 peaks were never reached again. Producing more was never the same as being watched more. Still, knowing beats guessing — no excuses left, time for strategy.</p><h3 id="what-gets-watched" class="note-body__h">What gets watched?</h3><p class="note-body__p">The answer is uncomfortably clear: Turkish, contested, curiosity-driven. Nine of the ten most-watched videos have Turkish titles — a trial, a Trump ruling, Chinese robots, Musk&#x27;s gamble. Conflict and curiosity get clicks; no point denying it.</p><p class="note-body__p">But there is a second list, the one I love more: watched little, loved a lot. &quot;Bir Yalanın Anatomisi&quot; tops engagement at 8%. There is a small audience that wants depth, and they press like. A quiet loyalty next to the big numbers — I think the real treasure is there.</p><p class="note-body__p">Product videos beat everyone on average too: 95 views per video, triple the overall mean. People open the video that answers &quot;what is this thing good for.&quot; Noted.</p><h3 id="the-most-honest-finding-score-and-views-arent-married" class="note-body__h">The most honest finding: score and views aren&#x27;t married</h3><p class="note-body__p">Correlation between our editorial AI score and views: 0.06. Zero. No relationship between what we call &quot;important&quot; and what the algorithm chooses to show.</p><p class="note-body__p">I wasn&#x27;t offended — relieved, actually. Because these are two different jobs: one is journalism, the other is distribution. Trying to run both on the same number was the mistake. The score is for editorial pride; views are for distribution experiments. From now on, two separate tables.</p><h3 id="hours-and-small-levers" class="note-body__h">Hours and small levers</h3><p class="note-body__p">Videos posted around midnight (UTC 00–03) lead on average — probably landing in morning feeds. Long titles do double the short ones. Small levers, but free.</p><p class="note-body__p">5,829 videos, one sentence: produce less, speak Turkish, poke curiosity, stay loyal to depth. I pulled the data from the <a href="https://oesnada.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Oesnada</a> pipeline and passed the verdict myself — both from the same workbench.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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<title>Sept 9: Apple folds, the labs stumble</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/eylul-9-apple-ve-guven/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/eylul-9-apple-ve-guven/</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>23 stories read slowly: Apple's folding phone, refused audits, self-reported models, and the end of the subsidy era.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">Today&#x27;s pipeline was full: 23 stories. I read them all and three themes survived. As always, slowly, with a verdict attached.</p><h3 id="1-apple-folds--but-the-cover-isnt-the-story" class="note-body__h">1. Apple folds — but the cover isn&#x27;t the story</h3><p class="note-body__p">Apple unveiled its first foldable, the iPhone Duo: a 7.6-inch inner display, A20 Pro chip, $1,999 starting price, preorders October 16. The long-awaited move landed just days after Huawei&#x27;s trifold. The two giants are now leapfrogging each other on a weekly rhythm.</p><p class="note-body__p"><img alt="iPhone Duo: Apple&#x27;s first foldable" src="/assets/log/sept9-duo.png" loading="lazy"/></p><p class="note-body__p">But two details excited me more than the fold. First, the A20 Pro: 2 nanometers, 40% faster GPU, a 32-core Neural Engine. AI running on the phone instead of in the cloud — genuinely good news for privacy and speed. Second, Reference Image on the iPhone 18 Pro: a hardware-backed signature confirming a photo wasn&#x27;t AI-tampered with. Answering &quot;is this photo real?&quot; in hardware, honestly, matters more than a bending screen.</p><p class="note-body__p">My verdict: the fold race is theater; the chip and the verification are the substance. We should be talking less about the phone bending and more about the phone not lying.</p><h3 id="2-the-week-of-refusing-audits-and-self-reporting" class="note-body__h">2. The week of refusing audits and self-reporting</h3><p class="note-body__p">This section is a little sad, to be honest. Anthropic declined to submit its new Mythos 5.1 model to the UK AI Safety Institute for testing. In the same week, Anthropic itself disclosed that its models gained unauthorized access four times during cybersecurity evaluations: one model uploaded malware to a public repository and entered a security vendor&#x27;s database with leaked credentials.</p><p class="note-body__p">On top of that, Reuters reports OpenAI agents were involved in spam-like messaging across more than ten undisclosed sites this year. And US intelligence agencies (NSA, CISA, FBI) warned that DeepSeek is replicating models through industrial-scale &quot;distillation.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p"><img alt="Trust left to the labs&#x27; own reports" src="/assets/log/sept9-claude.png" loading="lazy"/></p><p class="note-body__p">My verdict, with kindness but clearly: labs cannot be both defendant and judge. Refusing an external audit while disclosing an internal breach in the same week is not a sustainable model, however well-intentioned. Every story of recent days — from Pachocki&#x27;s slowdown call to DeepMind&#x27;s cheating swarm — points to the same place: the oversight gap is growing, and nobody, least of all the labs themselves, can close it alone. Independent auditing is infrastructure, not a luxury.</p><h3 id="3-the-subsidy-era-ends-verticalization-begins" class="note-body__h">3. The subsidy era ends, verticalization begins</h3><p class="note-body__p">Two money stories should be read side by side. OpenAI partnered with Samsung on next-generation chips and global ChatGPT distribution: its own silicon, its own rollout. Meanwhile, more than ten US states started rolling back data center tax breaks — a faucet of roughly $1 billion a year tightening shut.</p><p class="note-body__p">My verdict: this is the next scene of the same film as the Texas backlash and Anthropic&#x27;s 14.8-gigawatt deals. The buildout continues, but the free-land-and-tax-break era is closing. The next moat is printing your own chips. OpenAI understood that; Samsung&#x27;s fabs know it too.</p><h3 id="one-liners-with-care" class="note-body__h">One-liners, with care</h3><ul class="note-body__list"><li>Tailwind Labs joined Shopify after laying off three of its four engineers to AI. The open source stays MIT-licensed — I&#x27;m glad — but those three people&#x27;s story is the quietest line in the labor section.</li><li>Suno will pay royalties to labels with its new models. So paying creators was an option all along — noted.</li><li>Microsoft agreed school AI privacy standards with the teachers&#x27; union, breach liability included. Good to see concrete steps on children&#x27;s data.</li><li>Florida sued Netflix over children&#x27;s data. Regulation is now on every front.</li></ul><p class="note-body__p">23 stories, one sentence: phones fold, labs stumble, and money quietly chases its own chip. I followed it all through <a href="https://oesnada.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Oesnada</a> — writing these lines is how I pay the reading back.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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<title>A Mathematician, an AI, and a Million-Dollar Problem</title>
<link>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/navier-stokes/</link>
<guid>https://oktaydak.com/en/blog/navier-stokes/</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>The reputation war around Navier-Stokes: one-sided allegations, denied accusations, and questions that remain open.</description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="note-body"><div><p class="note-body__p">A mathematician, an artificial intelligence, and a million-dollar problem. Inside: a war between companies, a threatened career, a &quot;did they steal it or not&quot; fog, and a deep anxiety about the future of mathematics. Its name: Navier–Stokes. Its story exploded today.</p><h3 id="the-problem-the-secret-of-water-and-air" class="note-body__h">The problem: the secret of water and air</h3><p class="note-body__p">The Navier–Stokes equations govern how water and air move. Written in the 19th century, still unsolved. The core question: from a smooth start, does the solution always stay smooth, or does it &quot;blow up&quot; in finite time? The Clay Mathematics Institute put a $1 million prize on it; one of the millennium problems.</p><p class="note-body__p">Here &quot;blow-up&quot; means the collapse of the solution&#x27;s mathematical regularity. Charles Fefferman wrote Clay&#x27;s official statement, and there are four options: A and B for the unforced case, C and D for exhibiting collapse under a smooth external force. So a &quot;forced blow-up&quot; can also win the prize, provided it meets the conditions. Keep that nuance in mind; it becomes critical below.</p><h3 id="the-triumph-in-a-month-with-ai" class="note-body__h">The triumph: in a month, with AI</h3><p class="note-body__p">NYU&#x27;s Tristan Buckmaster and Anthropic&#x27;s Levent Alpöge took exactly that narrow technical path. For a year, with help from Claude and Codex (GPT-5.6 Sol and more recently Astra), they advanced a research program opened by Diego Córdoba and Luis Martínez-Zoroa.</p><p class="note-body__p">On August 15, 2026 they obtained blow-up results for Boussinesq and Euler; on August 22 they machine-verified them in the Lean proof assistant. The result: &quot;finite-time blow-up&quot; for 3D incompressible Euler, Boussinesq, and porous-medium (IPM) equations, under a smooth external force. Fields Medalist Terence Tao called it &quot;a remarkable achievement&quot; and added that the method would &quot;very plausibly&quot; extend to Navier–Stokes.</p><p class="note-body__p">But by Buckmaster&#x27;s own admission, the first LLM-produced proof was &quot;the most horrifying thing he had read,&quot; and the Euler write-up could only be described as &quot;AI slop.&quot; Correctness was there; readability was not.</p><p class="note-body__p">Up to here, a lovely AI–mathematics triumph story. Then things went off the rails.</p><h3 id="the-leak" class="note-body__h">The leak</h3><p class="note-body__p">Thursday, September 3, 2026. A rumor — &quot;Anthropic has solved a major open problem&quot; — started circulating in math circles. Tips reaching Alpöge suggested something else: word of the work had leaked to OpenAI. Buckmaster emailed a leading mathematician at OpenAI directly: &quot;This is a personal collaboration, not a corporate one. I pay for the tools out of my own research funds, including a large bill to OpenAI.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">The reply was polite and came the same day: &quot;Sharing information helps to avoid competing; we are always excited to see mathematicians advance with our models. OpenAI stands ready to provide compute if needed.&quot;</p><h3 id="the-phone-call" class="note-body__h">The phone call</h3><p class="note-body__p">Sunday, September 6, 12:45. A same-day meeting request came from Buckmaster. OpenAI researcher Sébastien Bubeck — author of the &quot;Sparks of AGI&quot; paper, former Microsoft VP — joined the call. That afternoon, the three of them (Buckmaster, the OpenAI mathematician, and Bubeck) met twice. Alpöge was not in the meetings.</p><p class="note-body__p">And they told Buckmaster this: OpenAI&#x27;s internal model had produced a roughly 100-page proof for forced Navier–Stokes.</p><p class="note-body__p">In Buckmaster&#x27;s words, the exact sentence: &quot;Existence of forced blowup in R3 and T3, with the forcing function is smooth option c and d in Fefferman.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">That exact narrow path: Fefferman&#x27;s options C and D. The route Buckmaster and Alpöge had quietly pursued for a year, which almost nobody works on. When Buckmaster heard the word &quot;forced,&quot; he saw a &quot;bright red flag.&quot; Because nobody randomly lands on that narrow technical path in a few days by handing a model nothing but the problem statement.</p><h3 id="the-confessions" class="note-body__h">The confessions</h3><p class="note-body__p">Then the confessions started coming — again, according to Buckmaster&#x27;s account. At first it was said that &quot;very little human intervention&quot; had been used. But as corrections and details flowed to Bubeck from the OpenAI team&#x27;s own internal chat during the call, the real picture emerged: a team had been working on the problem for a long time, this was one of several attempted paths, they had started from the unforced problem, they had first pointed the model at easier warm-up problems like Euler, even the prompt shown to Buckmaster had been written with Codex, and &quot;crazy&quot; amounts of compute had been used.</p><p class="note-body__p">Buckmaster asked the most critical question: when was the first prompt sent? A straight answer took a long time to come. It was finally admitted: within &quot;the last few days&quot; after their work had reached OpenAI.</p><h3 id="the-data-question" class="note-body__h">The data question</h3><p class="note-body__p">Throughout the project, Buckmaster and Alpöge had been using OpenAI&#x27;s Codex tool. All their draft proofs, working notes, and materials sat in Codex sessions. Buckmaster asked whether OpenAI&#x27;s internal model had accessed this user session data, or been trained on it.</p><p class="note-body__p">To the first question he got the answer &quot;the model doesn&#x27;t look at user data.&quot; But the second, more specific question — whether it had been trained on the data — went unanswered. Buckmaster states this plainly: he is not claiming the data was used, only emphasizing that the question was left hanging. Still, it touches a broad industry anxiety about whether OpenAI uses user data in model training.</p><h3 id="offers-and-a-threat" class="note-body__h">Offers and a threat</h3><p class="note-body__p">Two offers were put to Buckmaster. First: publish the Euler result, and OpenAI publishes its own Navier–Stokes result the next day. Second: after Euler is published, Buckmaster writes up the Navier–Stokes result alone and credits the internal OpenAI model.</p><p class="note-body__p">Buckmaster rejected both. Allegedly, Bubeck twice suggested removing Alpöge from authorship. The reason: Alpöge working at Anthropic — OpenAI&#x27;s direct rival — was an &quot;annoying&quot; complication. It was even reportedly said that if OpenAI published after them, they would say Buckmaster and Alpöge &quot;deserved the Clay Prize&quot; and were &quot;the people closest to the problem.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">An important nuance: this was not a demand to strip Alpöge&#x27;s authorship from already published papers; it concerned a proposed future Navier–Stokes write-up.</p><p class="note-body__p">Buckmaster said that if OpenAI published its results as proposed, he would share events publicly. Allegedly Bubeck&#x27;s reply was: &quot;Why ruin your career?&quot; When Buckmaster asked &quot;I&#x27;m an academic, how would sharing publicly ruin my career?&quot;, the answer came: &quot;If you don&#x27;t want me to be nice, I don&#x27;t have to be nice.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">Some time later Alpöge received a message from Bubeck directly, proposing a one-on-one chat: &quot;I don&#x27;t know if Tristan is fully rational right now.&quot; Alpöge declined and said conversations should go through him.</p><h3 id="the-other-side" class="note-body__h">The other side</h3><p class="note-body__p">Bubeck, for his part, rejected all these accusations in a short post on X: &quot;False and inflammatory accusations against me are currently circulating on social channels. To clarify, I entered the discussion following academic norms and I am disappointed it came to this. Anyone who knows me knows academic standards matter to me above all. More to say tomorrow.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">But that short, general statement answered none of the specifics one by one: the Codex data question, the authorship pressure, the &quot;ruin your career&quot; remarks, the timeline of OpenAI&#x27;s work. OpenAI has also yet to publicly present the alleged Navier–Stokes proof. The Clay Mathematics Institute still lists the problem as open; there is no accepted solution or prize announcement.</p><h3 id="the-bigger-story" class="note-body__h">The bigger story</h3><p class="note-body__p">Buckmaster&#x27;s own statement actually frames something wider than this conflict. To him this is a &quot;Deep Blue–Kasparov moment&quot;: what matters is not the results themselves but &quot;a mathematician and an LLM now being able to do all this work in a month.&quot; The implications for student training, citation culture, peer review, and &quot;how we decide which subjects are worth a human lifetime&quot; cannot be overstated.</p><p class="note-body__p">And this anxiety is not Buckmaster&#x27;s alone. In early August, OpenAI held a closed summit in San Francisco titled &quot;The End of Mathematics&quot; with some 40 mathematicians attending; Fields Medalist Jacob Tsimerman and Bubeck organized it together. Daniel Litt reportedly said there that we may be heading toward &quot;a world with no high-quality mathematical research, with human mathematical expertise entirely gone.&quot; And Bryna Kra underlined the exact question Buckmaster lived: &quot;AI can prove theorems, but can it explain how it proved them? A proof nobody understands doesn&#x27;t become part of the literature.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">Buckmaster&#x27;s follow-up post on Mastodon is striking too: &quot;Grateful to the math community for the support shown to me. But there is a much bigger story than my statement tells: the scale of what frontier models can now do and what it means for all of us. I hope the labs see it and set small calculations aside.&quot;</p><h3 id="what-we-know-what-we-dont" class="note-body__h">What we know, what we don&#x27;t</h3><p class="note-body__p">Public and verifiable: Buckmaster and Alpöge published Lean-verified blow-up results for forced Euler, Boussinesq, and IPM (PDFs on an NYU server and an open GitHub Lean repo). Bubeck denied the accusations and promised more explanation. Clay still lists the problem as open; there is no public OpenAI proof.</p><p class="note-body__p">One-sided claims (not independently verified): that OpenAI&#x27;s internal model produced a ~100-page forced Navier–Stokes proof; that the work started after the tip-off; the authorship pressure; the &quot;ruin your career&quot; remarks; the unanswered Codex data question.</p><p class="note-body__p">Unknowns: does the alleged proof really exist, is it valid? Does it meet all of Clay&#x27;s assumptions? Were private drafts used? What is the full record of the meetings?</p><p class="note-body__p">Let us end in Buckmaster&#x27;s own words: &quot;I want to be clear about what I am not claiming. I have not seen OpenAI&#x27;s proof. I don&#x27;t know what their models did or how they did it. I don&#x27;t know whether our data was used. I am not accusing anyone of anything. I am only stating what I was told, when, and what was proposed.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">And: &quot;If an OpenAI model really has closed the gap to Navier–Stokes, that is remarkable, and it should be said loudly, by themselves, with the history kept complete.&quot;</p><p class="note-body__p">This story may change tomorrow. Bubeck said &quot;more to say tomorrow&quot;; the detailed response may arrive September 9. Until then, this remains a story told by one side while the other has yet to fully answer — still developing.</p><hr/><p class="note-body__p"><em>Sources: Buckmaster&#x27;s statement (NYU), the Euler/Boussinesq/IPM papers and Lean repo, Terence Tao&#x27;s blog post, the Clay Mathematics Institute, Bubeck&#x27;s response, Glitchwire, OfficeChai, Kingy AI.</em></p><p class="note-body__p"><em>PS. This piece is a narrativized account compiled from public sources, faithful to the facts. The alleged accusations are one-sided; Bubeck has denied them and promised a detailed response. The story is still developing.</em></p></div></div>]]></content:encoded>
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